Benfica vs Bayern Munich: prediction & betting odds 24 June 2025

The Matchday 3 fixture of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Benfica (Portugal) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on June 24 at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, USA. Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Benfica

Bruno Lage's side thrashed Auckland City 6-0 in their previous match. After two rounds, the Portuguese team has accumulated 4 points, placing them second in Group C. To advance to the playoffs, they need just one more point in the upcoming match. Notably, the victory over the New Zealanders was Benfica's first win in their last five official international matches (2 draws, 2 losses).

  • The team has conceded at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 games in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup.
  • The Portuguese have scored in the second half in 6 of their last 8 matches in these tournaments.
  • Benfica has avoided defeat in 5 of their last 7 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup (3 wins, 2 draws).

Predicted lineup for Benfica (3-4-3)

Anatoliy Trubin – Álvaro Fernández Carreras, António Silva, Nicolás Otamendi – Fredrik Aursnes, Leandro Barreiro, Orkun Kökçü, Kerem Aktürkoğlu – Ángel Di María, Vangelis Pavlidis, Gianluca Prestianni.

Defender Álvaro Fernández Carreras and forward Andrea Belotti are suspended.

Bayern Munich

The Munich side secured a victory in their second match of the tournament, defeating Boca Juniors 2-1. Notably, Bayern became the first team in this edition of the Club World Cup to beat a South American team. Vincent Kompany's side has secured a place in the Round of 16. The goal conceded against the Argentinians was Bayern's first in their Club World Cup history.

  • The team has scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 official international matches.
  • The Germans have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup (6 wins, 2 draws).
  • At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 8 of Bayern's last 11 matches in these tournaments.

Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-3-3)

Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanišić, Joshua Kimmich, Jonathan Tah, Raphaël Guerreiro – Michael Olise, Konrad Laimer, Leon Goretzka – Kingsley Coman, Harry Kane, Serge Gnabry.

Referee

François Letexier (France)

Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;

Average yellow cards per match – 5;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 42%.

Match Prediction: Benfica vs. Bayern Munich

A draw in this match would suit both teams. This scenario seems quite possible, especially given their likely desire to rest key players. However, I am confident that even if the match ends in a draw, it won't be goalless. Both teams have strong attacks but also face defensive issues.

Before the match against Auckland, the Portuguese side conceded in 4 consecutive official international matches. However, Benfica also scored 6 goals during this period. Bayern, on the other hand, has a 9-match scoring streak in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup. But they have kept a clean sheet only three times in this period (including the match against the New Zealanders).

Taking a draw is quite risky, so I suggest a safer bet: Bayern Munich not to lose. The Munich side has not lost to Benfica in their last seven encounters in the Champions League, with at least two goals scored in five of those matches. Therefore, my prediction: Bayern Munich not to lose and Total Over 1.5 goals

Benfica — Bayern Munich betting tips 24 June 2025

Bayern Munich have already secured a place in the knockout stage, while a draw would be sufficient for Benfica to progress. However, with both teams highly motivated and the stakes still high, neither side is expected to take a conservative approach. A high-scoring contest appears likely.

Benfica continue to falter in crucial matches. After missing out on the league title and suffering defeat in the Portuguese Cup final, the squad will be determined to make amends at the Club World Cup. However, Benfica will face a major challenge: they have failed to win any of their last 13 encounters with Bayern Munich. The primary concern for the Portuguese team remains defensive frailty, having conceded in five of their last six fixtures. That said, they have been effective going forward, scoring in 17 consecutive matches, with Total Over 2.5 recorded in 15 of them.

Bayern Munich, in contrast, have made their ambitions clear — they are targeting the trophy. After a 10:0 thrashing of Auckland City FC and a hard-fought but composed 2:1 win over Boca Juniors, the Germans are emerging as one of the leading contenders. Their potency in attack is their greatest asset, consistently generating chances. Even against Boca Juniors, Bayern Munich registered 2.44 xG. The standout so far has been Harry Kane, who has contributed three goals and two assists.

Despite their place in the next round already secured, Vincent Kompany is unlikely to allow his team to relax — the stature of Bayern Munich demands full commitment. Defensive issues at Benfica make an upset unlikely. A match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities is expected, with the German team at least avoiding defeat.

Betting prediction
Bayern Munich to win or draw + Total Over 2.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
143/100
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Benfica vs Bayern Munich Odds

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FIFA Club World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Benfica
20.06.25
Benfica
Auckland City
W
16.06.25
Boca Juniors
Benfica
D
More matches
Bayern Munich
21.06.25
Bayern Munich
Boca Juniors
W
15.06.25
Bayern Munich
Auckland City
W
More matches

H2H: Benfica — Bayern Munich

Champions League 2024-2025
06.11.24
Bayern Munich
Benfica
Champions League 2021-2022
02.11.21
Bayern Munich
Benfica
20.10.21
Benfica
Bayern Munich
Champions League 2018-2019
27.11.18
Bayern Munich
Benfica
19.09.18
Benfica
Bayern Munich
Champions League 2015-2016
13.04.16
Benfica
Bayern Munich
05.04.16
Bayern Munich
Benfica

Group stage

FIFA Club World Cup: Group C
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Bayern Munich
  -:- 2:1 10:0 2 2 0 0
12:1
6
2
Benfica
-:-   -:- 6:0 2 1 1 0
8:2
4
3
Boca Juniors
-:- 2:2   -:- 2 0 1 1
3:4
1
4
Auckland City
-:- -:- -:-   2 0 0 2
0:16
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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